evaluation of default risk of a government bond of your choice such as Greece Italy Spain Ireland U S or any country that you are interested

The paper will be a three page double-space report (by one single student) on your evaluation of default risk of a government bond of your choice:

such as Greece, Italy, Spain, Ireland,  U.S., or any country that you are interested.

You look up their bond rating and express your agreement/disagreement.  You will need to assign a default probability for that country within the next 7 years: from 0% to 100%.   You will need to explain and defend your number.     The grade will be based on how well you back up your view.

 
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